@misc{Namysłowska-Wilczyńska_Barbara_3D_2010, author={Namysłowska-Wilczyńska, Barbara and Wilczyński, Artur}, year={2010}, rights={Wszystkie prawa zastrzeżone (Copyright)}, publisher={Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu}, description={Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu = Research Papers of Wrocław University of Economics; 2010; Nr 91, s. 95-112}, language={eng}, abstract={Geostatistical methods were applied to forecasting area - time (3D) electrical power demand. Spatial analyses based on node load data for two kinds of electrical power networks, i.e. the 220/400 kV network covering the whole area of Poland and the 110 kV network for a selected subarea of Poland, were carried out. The 20-year power variation structure for the two kinds of networks was analyzed using the directional variogram function. Power demand forecasts for 1 year and 5 years were made using ordinary block kriging. The results of the power estimation and forecasting of averages Z* and the estimation standard deviation ok show that the employed techniques are useful and effective. Therefore they arc recommended for use by power firms.}, title={3D Electric Power Demand Forecasting as a Tool for Planning Electrical Power Firm's Activity by Means of Geostatistical Methods}, type={artykuł}, keywords={geostatistical (3D) modelling, area – time forecasting, electrical loads, directional variogram, ordinary kriging}, }